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Explaining the Correlation Smile Using Variance Gamma Distributions

Authors: Thomas Moobrucker;

Explaining the Correlation Smile Using Variance Gamma Distributions

Abstract

The purpose of this article is to show that the correlation smile in liquid CDS index tranches can be explained by the same ideas that have explained the volatility smile in equity options. First, we extend a structural model proposed by Luciano and Schoutens [2005] that models firm values by Variance Gamma processes. We show that these extensions can explain the index spread curves and tranche quotes of DJ iTraxx 5 year simultaneously. Second, we extract the resulting dependence structure into a factor copula approach. The resulting VG copula shares the advantages of the well known Gaussian copula that underlies the most important industry models, such as CreditMetrics and KMV. We apply this approach to weekly spreads of DJ iTraxx 5 year. We show that this approach fits significantly better to the correlation smile than comparable copula approaches.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
21
Top 10%
Top 10%
Average
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