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Research Notes of the AAS
Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
Data sources: Crossref
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https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ar...
Article . 2025
License: CC BY NC SA
Data sources: Datacite
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Solar Cycles: Can they be Predicted?

Authors: Floe Foxon;

Solar Cycles: Can they be Predicted?

Abstract

Abstract The solar magnetic field, thought to be generated by the motion of plasma within the Sun, alternates on the order of 11 yr cycles and is incompletely understood. Industries rely on accurate forecasts of solar activity, but can solar cycles be predicted? Of more than 100 predictions for cycle 25, most underestimated the amplitude (peak sunspot number). Fewer predictions were made for the timing of solar maximum, but timing predictions seem to be performing better than amplitude predictions. Reasons for inaccurate prediction are suggested, and perspectives are given on how future studies might improve upon the extant literature.

Keywords

Astrophysics - Solar and Stellar Astrophysics, Physics - Space Physics, FOS: Physical sciences, Solar and Stellar Astrophysics (astro-ph.SR), Space Physics (physics.space-ph)

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
Green
hybrid