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Business: Theory and Practice
Article . 2006 . Peer-reviewed
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Business: Theory and Practice
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The Use of Monte Carlo Simulation Technique to Support Investment Decisions

Authors: Tamošiūnienė, Rima; Petravičius, Tomas;

The Use of Monte Carlo Simulation Technique to Support Investment Decisions

Abstract

In this paper the methodology and uses of Monte Carlo simulation technique in the evaluation of investment projects are presented to analyse and assess the risk. The first part presents the theoretical background of Monte Carlo analysis in various process stages. The second part examines the interpretation of the results generated by the application of project formulation, financial and risk analysis including investment decision criteria and measures of risk based on the expected NPV value concept. The final part draws some conclusions regarding the usefulness and limitations of Monte Carlo analysis in investment appraisal.

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Keywords

net present value, HF5001-6182, risk analysis, investment project, Monte Carlo simulation technique, Business, Articles

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selected citations
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This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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