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The War In Ukraine

Nuclear War Scenarios And Normal Accident Theory
Authors: Lasha Tchantouridze;

The War In Ukraine

Abstract

Russia started its nuclear war threats with the commencement of its war in Ukraine. In the current case of the war in Ukraine, the most critical question is whether the Russian Federation, the aggressor in this war, would use nuclear weapons. The purpose of this brief paper is to examine the scenarios that are available to Russia to carry out its threat. The theoretical framework employed here is that of Normal Accident Theory (NAT), one of the most prominent theories of catastrophe. Normal Accident Theory explains how Moscow's use of nuclear weapons can trigger a global catastrophe that could bring the international system down. There are scenarios according to which the decisions that may result in the destruction of the international system may cascade fast, and there are scenarios in which such cascading events may be avoided or delayed.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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