The surface subsidence caused by underground mining is a spatiotemporal process. The impact of mining on surface structures (houses, highways, railways, dikes, etc.) and structures in rock strata (shafts, roadways, chambers, etc.) is a dynamic process. It is necessary to study the dynamic movement law of the surface and overlying strata in the mining process of the working face to predict the extent of the impact of mining on the aforementioned structures. It provides a reference for pre-reinforcement and post-mining treatment. This paper studies the variation of surface dynamic movement based on the survey line above the working face of Peigou Coal Mine. The numerical simulation model of the overlying strata dynamic movement is established to study the dynamic movement law of rock strata with different depths, and the fitting function of surface and overlying strata dynamic movement is determined. Finally, the subsidence velocity prediction function of the major section of the surface and overlying strata in the Peigou Coal Mine is established. The accuracy of this prediction function is demonstrated by contrasting the subsidence and subsidence velocity curves of the surface subsidence basin survey line with the numerical model. In this paper, a numerical simulation method for the dynamic movement of the surface and overlying strata and a function for predicting the subsidence velocity on the strike major section are established, which provides an important theoretical reference for the dynamic protection of the structures on the surface and in the overlying strata.