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Insects
Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
Data sources: Crossref
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Insects
Article . 2025
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PubMed Central
Other literature type . 2025
License: CC BY
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Ensemble Distribution Modeling of the Globally Invasive Asian Cycad Scale, Aulacaspis yasumatsui Takagi, 1977 (Hemiptera: Diaspididae)

Authors: Samuel Valdés-Díaz; Reyna Tuñón; Dilma Castillo; Alieth Sanchez; Brenda Virola-Vasquez; Patricia Esther Corro; Francisco Serrano-Peraza; +4 Authors

Ensemble Distribution Modeling of the Globally Invasive Asian Cycad Scale, Aulacaspis yasumatsui Takagi, 1977 (Hemiptera: Diaspididae)

Abstract

Species distribution models (SDMs) have become an important tool to inform conservation and pest surveillance programs about the potential biological invasion of insect pests. Nonetheless, to be operational, SDMs need to incorporate multiple environmental covariates and a representative number of occurrence points depicting the species’ ecological niche. The algorithm of choice, model of choice, and comparison can also have a great effect on the final prediction output. We created a dataset based on previously published records, plus 36 new occurrences and 37 environmental predictors, to generate the first global ensemble distribution model for Aulacaspis yasumatsui. We employed a strategy that aggregates SDMs with the best performance (i.e., greater accuracy) from six different algorithms, resulting in an averaged and weighted model, i.e., the ensemble model. We then selected models from algorithms whose true skill statistic (TSS) was above 0.5 in order to map the potential global distribution of A. yasumatsui. Our results suggest that covariate selection and the individual model algorithms used in the ensemble may be more important for achieving an accurate SDM than the number of occurrence points.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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gold