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Frontiers in Earth Science
Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
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Frontiers in Earth Science
Article . 2024
Data sources: DOAJ
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Analysis of combined series of hydrological angular momentum developed based on climate models

Authors: Nastula, J.; Śliwińska-Bronowicz, J.; Wińska, M.; Kur, T.;

Analysis of combined series of hydrological angular momentum developed based on climate models

Abstract

Mass changes in the hydrosphere represent an important contributor to polar motion (PM) variations, especially at seasonal time scales (i.e., annual and semiannual). Although well studied, hydrological angular momentum (HAM) remains a major source of uncertainty in estimating PM excitation. In this work, we use a large number of climate models from the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) to determine HAM series both from individual models and their combination, formed with a multi-model mean, a weighted mean, and a three-cornered hat (TCH) method. The CMIP6-based HAM series are analysed in several spectral bands and evaluated with a reference hydrological signal in geodetically observed PM excitation (GAO). HAM determined from CMIP6 were also compared to HAM calculated from Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) measurements. We find that while climate models do not allow for reliable estimation of non-seasonal changes in HAM, they can help interpret seasonal variability. For annual prograde and semiannual retrograde oscillations, several combined CMIP6-based series exhibit higher amplitude and phase consistency with GAO than the corresponding series computed from GRACE data. Whether one uses a simple average of the models, a weighted average, or a combination of models from the TCH method has little impact on the resulting HAM series and their level of agreement with GAO. Our study advances the understanding of hydrological signal in Earth’s rotation at seasonal time scales.

Countries
Poland, Germany
Keywords

hydrological angular momentum, polar motion excitation, GRACE, Science, Q, terrestrial water storage, CMIP6

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
3
Top 10%
Average
Average
gold