
handle: 10230/1016
We develop and estimate a structural model of inflation that allows for a fraction of firms that use a backward-looking rule to set prices. The model nests the purely forward-looking New Keynesian Phillips curve as a particular case. We use measures of marginal cost as the relevant determinant of inflation, as the theory suggests, instead of an ad hoc output gap. Real marginal costs are a significant and quantitatively important determinant of inflation. Backward-looking price setting, while statistically significant, is not quantitatively important. Thus, we conclude that the New Keynesian Phillips curve provides a good first approximation to the dynamics of inflation.
inflation persistence, new keynesian models, New Keynesian models, Phillips curve, sticky prices, inflation persistence, Macroeconomics and International Economics, sticky prices, phillips curve, jel: jel:E32, jel: jel:E31
inflation persistence, new keynesian models, New Keynesian models, Phillips curve, sticky prices, inflation persistence, Macroeconomics and International Economics, sticky prices, phillips curve, jel: jel:E32, jel: jel:E31
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