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NBER Macroeconomics Annual
Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewed
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On the Empirical (Ir)Relevance of the Zero Lower Bound Constraint

Authors: Debortoli, Davide; Galí, Jordi, 1961-; Gambetti, Luca;

On the Empirical (Ir)Relevance of the Zero Lower Bound Constraint

Abstract

The magnitude of the global financial crisis of 2007–8 and the recession that it triggered ledmany central banks to lower their policy rates down to values near zero, their theoretical lower bound.1 In the United States, the target for the federal funds rate remained at zero for 7 years, from January 2009 through December 2015. During that period, the shortterminterest rate stopped playing its role as an instrument ofmacroeconomic stabilization. Was the performance of the US economy affected by the binding zero lower bound (ZLB)? The present paper seeks to provide an answer to that question.More specifically, our goal is to evaluate the merits of what we refer to as the “ZLB empirical irrelevance hypothesis” (or the “irrelevance hypothesis,” for short), that is, the hypothesis that the economy’s performance was not affected by the binding ZLB constraint, in practice, during the recent US episode. In particular, we focus on two dimensions of that performance that were ex ante likely to have experienced the impact of a binding ZLB: (i) the volatility of macro variables and (ii) the economy’s response to shocks.

Country
Spain
Keywords

unconventional monetary policies, liquidity trap, Macroeconomics and International Economics, regime changes, time-varying structural vector-autoregressive models.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
81
Top 1%
Top 10%
Top 1%
Green
bronze