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Oxford Economic Papers
Article . 2011 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
EconStor
Research . 2009
Data sources: EconStor
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The Two Waves of Service Sector Growth

Authors: Barry Eichengreen; Poonam Gupta;

The Two Waves of Service Sector Growth

Abstract

The positive association between the service sector share of output and per capita income is one of the best-known regularities in all of growth and development economics. Yet there is less than complete agreement on the nature of that association. Here we identify two waves of service sector growth, a first wave in countries with relatively low levels of per capita GDP and a second wave in countries with higher per capita incomes. The first wave appears to be made up primarily of traditional services, the second wave of modern (financial, communication, computer, technical, legal, advertising and business) services that are receptive to the application of information technologies and increasingly tradable across borders. In addition, there is evidence of the second wave occurring at lower income levels after 1990. But this change in the second wave is not equally evident in all economies: it is most apparent in democracies, in countries that are open to trade, and in those that are relatively close to the major global financial centers. This points to both political and economic conditions that can help countries capitalize on the opportunities afforded by an increasingly globalized post-industrial economy.

Keywords

Strukturwandel, O10, Wirtschaftswachstum, O11, ddc:330, Welt, Services, Services, Growth, Structural change, traditional services modern services, Growth, traditional services modern services, Nationaleinkommen, O14, Dienstleistungssektor, Structural change, jel: jel:O0, jel: jel:O1, jel: jel:O11, jel: jel:O10, jel: jel:O14

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    167
    popularity
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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
167
Top 1%
Top 1%
Top 10%
bronze