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Japan and the World Economy
Article . 2009 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
Data sources: Crossref
EconStor
Research . 2007
Data sources: EconStor
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Three Current Account Balances: A "Semi-Structuralist" Interpretation

Authors: Menzie D. Chinn; Jaewoo Lee;

Three Current Account Balances: A "Semi-Structuralist" Interpretation

Abstract

Three large current account imbalances—one deficit (the United States) and two surpluses (Japan and the Euro area)—are subjected to a minimalist structural interpretation. Though simple, this interpretation enables us to assess how much of each of the imbalances require a real exchange rate adjustment. According to the estimates, a large part of the U.S. current account deficit (nearly 2 percentage points of the 2004 deficit of 5½ percent of GDP) will undergo an adjustment process that involves real depreciation in its exchange rate. For Japan, a little more than 1 percentage point (of GDP) of the current account surplus is found to require an exchange rate movement (real appreciation) as the surpluses adjust down. For the Euro area, less than half a percentage point of its current account surplus is found to require an adjustment via real appreciation.

Related Organizations
Keywords

real exchange rate, ddc:330, Leistungsbilanz, Japan, EU-Staaten, historical decomposition, Zahlungsbilanzungleichgewicht, current account, F41, USA, F31, Schätzung, jel: jel:F31, jel: jel:F41

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    influence
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
20
Top 10%
Top 10%
Average
bronze