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Financial leverage and predictability of earnings

Authors: Tang, Wenye;

Financial leverage and predictability of earnings

Abstract

This study investigates whether firms' financial leverage affects earnings predictability. I posit and find that earnings predictability is negatively associated with firms' leverage. Further analyses using an instrumental variable and a difference-indifferences approach reveal a causal, adverse effect of financial leverage on earnings predictability. This effect is more salient for firms with higher default risk, higher cash effective tax rate volatility, and when economic policy uncertainty is higher. Taken together, my findings provide evidence on the causal effect of firms' leverage on earnings predictability through the riskiness channel. More importantly, by highlighting the role of firms' debt in influencing earnings predictability, my study contributes to our understanding of the relation between management decisions on debt contracting and earnings properties.

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United States
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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