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El Producto potencial en Colombia: una estimación bajo VAR estructural

Authors: Enrique Antonio López-Enciso; Martha Misas A.;

El Producto potencial en Colombia: una estimación bajo VAR estructural

Abstract

En este trabajo se aplica la tecnica de vectores autoregresivos estructurales desarrollada por Blanchard y Quah, con el fin de construir el producto potencial para Colombia. Su utiliza un sistema de dos variables que permite obtener una identificacion exacta a partir de una restriccion teorica de largo plazo. Los resultados de la estimacion muestran la importancia de los choques de oferta en las fluctuaciones del producto y de los choques de demanda en aquellas del desempleo. Adicionalmente, el producto potencial se utiliza en la construccion de la brecha de producto ("GAP"), que posibilita examinar en detalle el comportamiento reciente de la economia colombiana. Esta variable permite estimar un modelo de incremento de la inflacion derivado de la Curva de Philips. En este ultimo ejercicio se presentan evidencias de la existencia de efectos asimetricos del "GAP" sobre la inflacion colombiana.

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    3
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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Powered by OpenAIRE graph
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
3
Average
Average
Average
hybrid