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Indicadores de alerta temprana para el sector corporativo privado colombiano

Authors: Santiago David Segovia-Baquero; Javier Eliecer Pirateque-Niño; María Fernanda Meneses-González;

Indicadores de alerta temprana para el sector corporativo privado colombiano

Abstract

Este documento valida la utilidad de algunas variables financieras en la identificacion temprana de acumulacion de vulnerabilidades para el sector corporativo privado en Colombia. Para esto, se estudia la evolucion de varios indicadores para firmas que han entrado en distress financiero. Adicionalmente, se valida la capacidad predictiva de los indicadores in-sample y out-of-sample. Los resultados sugieren que la razon de endeudamiento y una medida de debt-to-cashflow son las que mejor informacion proveen. Asimismo, se encuentra que la desagregacion de las firmas por sector economico y el uso de medidas conjuntas aumentan la capacidad de identificacion de situaciones de vulnerabilidad en este sector.

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    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
bronze