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Intelligent stock market instability index: Application to the Korean stock market

Authors: Young Min Kim 0002; Sung Kwon Han; Tae Yoon Kim; Kyong Joo Oh; Zhiming Luo; Chiho Kim;

Intelligent stock market instability index: Application to the Korean stock market

Abstract

In order to monitor stock market instability in emerging markets, we propose a stock market instability index (SMII) with a corresponding p-value by using a model fitted to a stable period. More precisely, this study considers a random walk model and combines it with a nonparametric model by using Bayesian model averaging. The integrated stock market instability index (iSMII) and its p$-value are derived as a posterior expectation of the two models. In this study, an artificial neural network (ANN) is utilized as a nonparametric model.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
4
Average
Average
Average
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