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Part of book or chapter of book . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
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Counterfactual Thinking in Stochastic Dynamics of Cooperation

Authors: António M. Fernandes; Francisco C. Santos; Ana Paiva 0001;

Counterfactual Thinking in Stochastic Dynamics of Cooperation

Abstract

Understanding the conundrum of human cooperation has been declared one of the century’s grand challenges. Traditionally, the evolution of cooperative action in nature is analyzed through the lens of Evolutionary Game Theory, specifically, using the social learning framework, a model for Darwinian competition. However, more complex individuals may resort to more sophisticated learning rules such as Counterfactual Thinking (CT). Given these individuals’ cognitive empowerment, the question of how the presence of counterfactuals influences the evolution of cooperation in a hybrid population of these complex agents and social learners. Here we explore how cooperation emerges from the interplay of different strategy revision paradigms by analyzing large-scale Markov processes. We find that increasing the prevalence of CT individuals can promote cooperation, but such an increase is non-monotonous. Moreover, whereas counterfactual reasoning generally fosters cooperation, it fails to promote such behaviour among counterfactuals. Lastly, we find that increasing the population’s heterogeneity level enhances cooperation among social learners, but again not among counterfactuals. This indicates that, under certain circumstances, the presence of more sophisticated agents may help promote cooperation in hybrid populations. The proposed study may come as a starting point for a more profound understanding of agents’ counterfactual rationality impact on hybrid populations.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
hybrid