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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Transportation Resea...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
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Travel-Time Prediction for Freeway Corridors

Authors: D'Angelo, Matthew P.; Al-Deek, Haitham M.; Wang, Morgan C.;

Travel-Time Prediction for Freeway Corridors

Abstract

The application of a nonlinear time series model to the prediction of traffic parameters on a freeway network is investigated. The nonlinear time series approach is a statistical technique that has strong potential for on-line implementation. A new approach for predicting corridor travel times is developed and tested with travel-time data. The travel-time data are derived from observed speed data, which are collected from an 18-km (11.2-mi) freeway section in Orlando, Florida. The westbound Interstate-4 morning peak period (6:00 to 10:00 a.m.) for 20 incident-free days is tested with the goal of predicting recurrent congestion. The problem is addressed from the perspectives of single-variable and multiple-variable prediction of corridor travel times. In single-variable prediction, speed time-series data are used to forecast travel times along the freeway corridor. A calibrated single-variable prediction model is developed through the application of decay factors to smooth out the input data and the establishment of a threshold on the minimum speed prediction permitted. Multivariable prediction schemes are developed using speed, occupancy, and volume data provided by inductive loop detectors on the study section. The prediction performance of the calibrated single-variable model is shown to be superior to the multivariable prediction schemes. This new approach produces reasonable errors for short-term (5-min) travel-time predictions. The developed model can be implemented on-line with minimal effort.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
71
Top 10%
Top 1%
Average
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