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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Transportation Resea...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
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Development and Application of a Revenue and Ridership Forecasting Model for Ferry Service

Authors: T. Brent Baker; Raymond G. Deardorf;

Development and Application of a Revenue and Ridership Forecasting Model for Ferry Service

Abstract

A combination of statistical approaches is used to develop near-to mid-range ridership and revenue forecasting models for Washington State Ferries for use in quarterly budget updates. Econometric regression models use historical and forecast trends in state economic and demographic variables to project systemwide ridership by six fare categories for different fare scenarios. Time series analysis models are used to project ferry ridership at the individual route level by six fare categories. The sum of the time series route forecasts is then calibrated to the econometric systemwide totals to yield unconstrained ridership forecasts by route and fare category. A capacity constraint model handles cases where the demand for vehicle travel exceeds vessel capacity by generating ridership ceilings for different service scenarios. Finally, the appropriate fares are applied to the ridership projections to arrive at revenue forecasts over a 10-year horizon.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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