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KERNEL Jurnal Riset Inovasi Bidang Informatika dan Pendidikan Informatika
Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
Data sources: Crossref
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Analisis Perbandingan Metode Peramalan Single Exponential Smoothing dan Double Exponential Smoothing pada Harga Pembukaan Harian XAU/IDR

Authors: Rachmad Maulana Putra;

Analisis Perbandingan Metode Peramalan Single Exponential Smoothing dan Double Exponential Smoothing pada Harga Pembukaan Harian XAU/IDR

Abstract

The widespread availability of information in the digital age has made gold investment more accessible to a wider audience. In the Forex market, the world's largest foreign exchange market, gold is traded under the code XAU and is considered a major, stable commodity. Despite the ease of gold investment, fluctuating gold prices pose a significant challenge, making price prediction difficult. This research employs Single Exponential Smoothing and Double Exponential Smoothing methods to determine the most optimal forecasting approach based on the lowest Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) values. The study also utilizes Solver for parameter optimization to achieve the most optimal MAPE and RMSE values. Findings indicate that Single Exponential Smoothing is more optimal for gold price prediction, with a MAPE value of 0.63% and an RMSE value of 2518.38604

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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