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Matrik Jurnal Manajemen Teknik Informatika dan Rekayasa Komputer
Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY SA
Data sources: Crossref
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Prediksi Harga Minyak Mentah Menggunakan Jaringan Syaraf Tiruan

Authors: Guslendra Guslendra; Surmayanti Surmayanti; Jhon Veri;

Prediksi Harga Minyak Mentah Menggunakan Jaringan Syaraf Tiruan

Abstract

Minyak mentah merupakan energi utama yang banyak digunakan pada berbagai industri di duniasehingga harga minyak mentah sulit untuk diprediksi apalagi di Indonesia setelah adanya pencabutansubsidi minyak oleh pemerintah Indonesia sehinga diperlukan teknik prediksi yang akurat untukmemprediksi harga minyak mentah dunia, prediksi harga minyak mentah merupakan perkiraanharga minyak mentah di masa mendatang. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis kinerjajaringan saraf tiruan dengan metode backpropagation dalam memprediksi harga minyak mentah.Penelitian ini menggunakan satu parameter data dalam memprediksi harga minyak mentah yaitudata minyak mentah dari tahun 2018 sampai tahun 2020. Pada kasus prediksi harga minyak mentah,jaringan saraf tiruan tata cara backpropagation dalam proses training bisa mengidentifikasi polainformasi yang diberikan dengan baik. Pada proses training JST, terus menjadi kecil nilai sasaranerror hingga iterasinya hendak terus menjadi besar serta tingkatan keakurasiannya pula terus menjadibesar. Hasil pelatihan didapat nilai Mean Square Error (MSE) adalah 0,00099762 dengan 135Epoch, pada pengujian jaringan diperoleh nilai MSE adalah 0,093336. Dengan demikian nilai koefisienkorelasi serta nilai MSE yang dihasilkan pada proses pengujian menampilkan kalau jaringansyaraf tiruan propagasi balik sangat baik berdasarkan kelompok kelas nilai MSE untuk memprediksiinformasi harga minyak mentah.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
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