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Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Article . 2018 . Peer-reviewed
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MODEL STOKASTIK PENYEBARAN PENYAKIT KOLERA

Authors: M. MAISURA; H. SUMARNO; P. SIANTURI;

MODEL STOKASTIK PENYEBARAN PENYAKIT KOLERA

Abstract

Kolera adalah penyakit infeksi akut yang disebabkan oleh bakteri Vibrio Cholerae yang masuk ke dalam tubuh melalui makanan dan minuman yang dikonsumsi oleh penderita. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk melihat penyebaran penyakit kolera dengan menggunakan model stokastik. Pada penelitian ini dikaji dua model yaitu, Pendekatan Stokastik Model Wang dan Modnak dengan populasi konstan dan pada populasi tidak konstan untuk menganalisis peluang wabah. Peluang wabah diperoleh dengan menggunakan probability generating function (pgf) keturunan proses bercabang. Simulasi dilakukan untuk melihat perilaku model populasi konstan dan tidak konstan. Hasil dari penelitian ini adalah dalam model stokastik, ketika bilangan reproduksi dasar lebih besar dari satu masih ada kemungkinan menuju peluang bebas penyakit. Selain itu, tidak ada perbedaan antara model populasi konstan dan tidak konstan terhadap peluang bebas penyakit.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Average
Average
Average
bronze