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A Bayesian Approach to Longevity Risk Management

Authors: LEUNG, MELVERN;

A Bayesian Approach to Longevity Risk Management

Abstract

In this thesis, we apply three Bayesian econometric tools in the area of longevity risk management. Firstly, we develop an algorithm to Mortality modelling under the Bayesian state-space framework. Our framework allows for efficient and fast estimation of model parameters. Secondly, we provide a new hypothesis testing method using Bayesian Decision Theory applied in annuity liabilities, which is a more robust approach to the standard Null Hypothesis Significance Testing. Lastly, we provide a Bayesian risk premium analysis for longevity derivatives.

Keywords

FOS: Economics and business, Econometric and statistical methods, 140302 Econometric and Statistical Methods, Financial econometrics, 150202 Financial Econometrics

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
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