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https://doi.org/10.2495/data07...
Article . 2007 . Peer-reviewed
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A re-examination of volatility spillovers in European government bond markets using a multi-objective artificial network

Authors: Dash, G. H.; Kajiji, N.;

A re-examination of volatility spillovers in European government bond markets using a multi-objective artificial network

Abstract

In this paper we extend prior efforts to engineer an efficient mapping of volatility transmission across various westernand central-European government bond markets. Prior research efforts report that the closed-form derivation of the regularization parameter embodied by the Kajiji-4 RBF ANN results in an efficient minimization of the ill-effects of multi-collinearity while attaining maximum smoothness in nonparametric time series analysis. This computational innovation provides the raison d’etre for a comparative re-examination of volatility spillover effects obtained from the study of parametric-based conditional volatility investigations. The current research calibrates the Kajiji-4 ANN to produce new evidence on volatility flows. The two step research method focuses first on the art of ANN engineering of financial time-series. The method then focuses on the resultant modelling efficiency by introducing an investigatory ARCH-framework as well as a classification-directed ANN. The post-modelling efficiency tests certify the ex-ante expectation for the Kajiji-4 RBF ANN to produce residuals that are devoid of latent economic covariance and conditional volatility effects. Moreover, we find that the estimated Kajiji-4 network parameters yield corroborative evidence that supports the broader findings in the extant literature on bond volatility-spillover effects. However, the non-parametric approach also produced results that challenge some contemporary findings. Most notably, the research findings contradict the view of a weak US volatility-spillover into EMU countries with a correspondingly strong spillover effect for non-EMU countries.

Country
United States
Related Organizations
Keywords

Radial basis functions, Artificial neural networks, 330, Volatility, Spillovers, Bond markets, Neural networks

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
bronze