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Journal of Monetary Economics
Article . 2016 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
Data sources: Crossref
https://doi.org/10.24148/wp201...
Article . 2012 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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Uncertainty Shocks are Aggregate Demand Shocks

Authors: Sylvain Leduc; Zheng Liu;

Uncertainty Shocks are Aggregate Demand Shocks

Abstract

Abstract Search frictions in the labor market give rise to a new option-value channel through which uncertainty affects aggregate economic activity, and the effects of which are reinforced by the presence of nominal rigidities. With these features, an increase in uncertainty resembles an aggregate demand shock because it increases unemployment and lowers inflation. Using a new empirical measure of uncertainty based on the Michigan survey and a VAR model, we show that these theoretical patterns are consistent with US data. Using a calibrated DSGE model, we show that combining search frictions and nominal rigidities can match the qualitative VAR pattern and account for about 70 percent of the empirical increase in unemployment following an uncertainty shock.

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Keywords

Uncertainty ; Inflation (Finance) ; Unemployment

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    628
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    influence
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
628
Top 0.1%
Top 1%
Top 10%
bronze