
ABSTRACT: The monetary unit assumption of financial accounting assumes a stable currency (i.e., constant purchasing power over time). Yet, even during periods of low inflation or deflation, nominal financial statements violate this assumption. I posit that, while the effects of inflation are not recognized in nominal statements, such effects may have economic consequences. I find that unrecognized inflation gains and losses help predict future cash flows as these gains and losses turn into cash flows over time. I also find significant abnormal returns to inflation-based trading strategies, suggesting that stock prices do not fully reflect the implications of the inflation effects for future cash flows. Additional analysis reveals that stock prices act as if investors do not fully distinguish monetary and nonmonetary assets, which is fundamental to determining the effects of inflation. Overall, this study is the first to show that, although inflation effects are not recognized in nominal financial statements, they have significant economic consequences, even during a period in which inflation is relatively low.
Auditing and Accountability, E27, M41, M1, cash flows, information, inflation; asset pricing; information; financial reporting; abnormal returns; cash flows; capital markets, capital markets, M4, Accounting, G11, inflation, G12, E31, G17, financial reporting, G14, asset pricing, D82, abnormal returns, E22, E44, jel: jel:D82, jel: jel:E22, jel: jel:E44, jel: jel:M4, jel: jel:E27, jel: jel:M41, jel: jel:E31, jel: jel:G12, jel: jel:M1, jel: jel:G11, jel: jel:G17, jel: jel:G14
Auditing and Accountability, E27, M41, M1, cash flows, information, inflation; asset pricing; information; financial reporting; abnormal returns; cash flows; capital markets, capital markets, M4, Accounting, G11, inflation, G12, E31, G17, financial reporting, G14, asset pricing, D82, abnormal returns, E22, E44, jel: jel:D82, jel: jel:E22, jel: jel:E44, jel: jel:M4, jel: jel:E27, jel: jel:M41, jel: jel:E31, jel: jel:G12, jel: jel:M1, jel: jel:G11, jel: jel:G17, jel: jel:G14
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| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Top 10% | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% |
