Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ Econometricaarrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
Econometrica
Article
Data sources: UnpayWall
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
zbMATH Open
Article
Data sources: zbMATH Open
Econometrica
Article . 1993 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
versions View all 3 versions
addClaim

Common Persistence in Conditional Variances

Common persistence in conditional variances
Authors: Bollerslev, Tim; Engle, Robert F;

Common Persistence in Conditional Variances

Abstract

Summary: Since the introduction of the autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (ARCH) model by the second author [ibid. 50, 987-1007 (1982; Zbl 0491.62099)], numerous applications of this modeling strategy have already appeared. A common finding in many of these studies with high frequency financial or monetary data concerns the presence of an approximate unit root in the autoregressive polynomial in the univariate time series representation for the conditional second order moments of the process, as in the so-called integrated generalized ARCH (IGARCH) class of models proposed by the authors [Econ. Rev. 5, 1-50 (1986; Zbl 0619.62105)]. In the IGARCH models shocks to the conditional variance are persistent, in the sense that they remain important for forecasts of all horizons. This idea is readily extended to a multivariate framework. Even though many time series may exhibit persistence in variance, it is likely that several different variables share the same common long-run component. In that situation, the variables are naturally defined to be co-persistent in variance, and the co-persistent linear combination is interpretable as a long-run relationship. Conditions for co-persistence to occur in the multivariate linear GARCH model are presented. These conditions parallel the conditions for linear co-integration in the mean, as developed by the second author and \textit{C. W. J. Granger} [Econometrica 55, 251-276 (1987; Zbl 0613.62140)]. The presence of co-persistence has important implications for asset pricing relationships and in optimal portfolio allocation decisions. An empirical example relating to the time series properties of nominal U.S. dollar exchange rates for the Deutschemark and the Britisch pound provides a simple illustration of the ideas.

Country
United States
Related Organizations
Keywords

factor GARCH, optimal portfolio allocation, IGARCH models, linear co-integration, co-persistence in variance, asset pricing relationships, exchange rate dynamics, Economic time series analysis, Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH), generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, integrated generalized ARCH, multivariate linear GARCH model, time series, Applications of statistics to economics, persistence in variance

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    190
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 1%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
190
Top 10%
Top 1%
Top 1%
bronze