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The Economic Journal
Article . 1995 . Peer-reviewed
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Simplicity, Scientific Inference and Econometric Modelling

Authors: Keuzenkamp, H.A.; McAleer, M.;

Simplicity, Scientific Inference and Econometric Modelling

Abstract

Two issues are discussed in this paper. The first is whether a formal definition and justification of simplicity (parsimony) in scientific inference can be found, and whether an optimal level of simplicity is obtainable. A definition of simplicity is possible, as are the optimum conditions for the desired degree of simplicity. The model of inference used here relates Bayesian inference to algorithmic information theory. Simplicity is examined in the light of induction, the Duhem-Quine thesis, and bounded rationality. The second issue relates to the role that simplicity might play in econometric modeling. This is elucidated with some remarks on the 'general to specific' approach to modeling and discussions on the purpose of a model. Copyright 1995 by Royal Economic Society.

Country
Netherlands
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Keywords

Economic Schools, Economic Methodology, Economic Schools; Econometric Models; Economic Methodology, Econometric Models, Economic Schools;Econometric Models;Economic Methodology, jel: jel:C50, jel: jel:B40, jel: jel:B00

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    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    38
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
38
Average
Top 10%
Top 10%
bronze