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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao zbMATH Openarrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
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Article
Data sources: zbMATH Open
Econometrica
Article . 1996 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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"Beliefs about Beliefs" without Probabilities

``Beliefs about beliefs'' without probabilities
Authors: Epstein, Larry G; Wang, Tan;

"Beliefs about Beliefs" without Probabilities

Abstract

Summary: This paper constructs a space of states of the world representing the exhaustive uncertainty facing each player in a strategic situation. The innovation is that preferences are restricted primarily by ``regularity'' conditions and need not conform with subjective expected utility theory. The construction employs a hierarchy of preferences, rather than of beliefs as in the standard Bayesian model. The framework is sufficiently general to accommodate uncertainty averse preferences, such as exhibited in the Ellsberg paradox, and to allow common knowledge of expected utility (or Choquet expected utility) to be well-defined formally. Applications include the provision of (i) foundations for a Harsanyi-style game of incomplete information, and (ii) a rich framework for the axiomatization of solution concepts for complete information normal form games.

Keywords

Kolmogorov extension theorem, axiomatization of solution concepts, uncertainty averse preferences, Ellsberg paradox, Utility theory, Harsanyi-style game of incomplete information, vague topology

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
67
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
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