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A Multicountry Characterization of the Nonstationarity of Aggregate Output

Authors: Kormendi, Roger C; Meguire, Philip;

A Multicountry Characterization of the Nonstationarity of Aggregate Output

Abstract

The authors compute the scaled varlogram (the variances of kth differences scaled by the variance of first differences) of the log of annual per capita real aggregate output (GDP or GNP), as measured by (1) the long series for the United States and United Kingdom; (2) Angus Maddison's (1982) long series for twelve countries; and (3) the postwar IFS data for thirty-two countries. Simulations show that the scaled varlogram of real output is nearly always more consistent with the data being generated by parsimonious difference stationary than trend stationary univariate processes. In fact, the data reveal some "excess nonstationarity" relative to parsimonious ARIMA models. The power of the scaled varlogram to discriminate between trend stationary and difference stationary processes is somewhat greater than that of a Dickey-Fuller type F test. Copyright 1990 by Ohio State University Press.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
62
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Top 10%
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