
AbstractThis overview proposes a general framework linking economic analysis to a reduction‐based statistical methodology based on parameter change, expectations and contingent plans, conditioning and weak exogeneity. Both long‐run economic theory and dynamic adjustment are discussed and general‐to‐specific modelling is linked to the theory of reduction to clarify modelling and model‐related concepts. The statistical analysis extends the estimator generating formula to `incomplete’ linear models. A sequence of six expository themes interprets time‐series econometrics: models are derived as reductions from the process which actually generated the data, inducing parameter transformations which affect their constancy, invariance and interpretation; conditioning and weak exogeneity are linked to contingent plans of economic agents; an EGE covers estimation theory for linear sub‐systems; a typology of linear dynamic equations elucidates their relative properties; the efficient score describes diagnostic testing; and encompassing inter‐related empirical models.
exogeneity, encompassing, dynamics, plans, diagnostic testing, Economic time series analysis, Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH), conditioning, conditional models, invariance, marginalizing, Applications of statistics to economics, money demand, estimator generation, expectations
exogeneity, encompassing, dynamics, plans, diagnostic testing, Economic time series analysis, Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH), conditioning, conditional models, invariance, marginalizing, Applications of statistics to economics, money demand, estimator generation, expectations
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