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Modelling Natural Resource Scarcity Using the 'Error-Correction' Approach

Authors: B. Moazzami; F.J. Anderson;

Modelling Natural Resource Scarcity Using the 'Error-Correction' Approach

Abstract

An error correction framework is used to test the long-run hypothesis that prices of natural resources commodities in the United States exhibit scarcity properties from the late nineteenth century to 1988 in the sense that real resource commodity prices have been increasing or following a U-shaped pattern, introduced by M. E. Slade (1982). The model is formulated to test the validity of the deflation procedure itself along with the scarcity properties. Results indicate that the model works well as a description of the long-term behavior of resources prices and supports the U-shaped version of the scarcity hypothesis in a majority of cases. An "error correction" framework is used to test the long-run hypothesis that prices of natural resources commodities in the U.S. exhibit scarcity properties from the late nineteenth century to 1988 in the sense that real resource commodity prices have been increasing or following a U-shaped pattern (Slade 1982). The model is formulated to test the validity of the deflation procedure itself along with the scarcity properties. Results indicate that the model works well as a description of the long-term behaviour of resources prices and supports the U-shaped version of the scarcity hypothesis in a majority of cases.

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Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
8
Average
Average
Average
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