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Investigación Económica
Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY NC ND
Data sources: Crossref
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CRECIMIENTO ECONÓMICO, TIPO DE CAMBIO REAL Y EXPORTACIONES MANUFACTURERAS DE MÉXICO, 1998-2020

Authors: Ana Erika Castañeda Martínez; Teresa López González;

CRECIMIENTO ECONÓMICO, TIPO DE CAMBIO REAL Y EXPORTACIONES MANUFACTURERAS DE MÉXICO, 1998-2020

Abstract

El principal objetivo del artículo es comprobar empíricamente, para el caso de México en el periodo 1998-2020, la hipótesis central del enfoque neoestructuralista que sostiene la existencia de una relación positiva entre el tipo de cambio real y el crecimiento económico. Utilizamos un modelo de cointegración del tipo Engle y Granger. Exponemos hechos estilizados sobre los flujos comerciales que muestran algunas características de dichos flujos, los cuales permiten entender por qué en la economía mexicana no se registraron las derramas de la difusión tecnológica (spillovers from technology difussion) que, según la nueva teoría del comercio internacional, son inducidas por la liberalización comercial, más concretamente por las exportaciones de mercancías. Estos hechos estilizados contribuyen a la interpretación de los resultados del modelo de cointegración, así como a identificar algunos de los factores de la restricción externa al crecimiento en la economía mexicana (Thirlwall, 1979). ECONOMIC GROWTH, REAL EXCHANGE RATE AND MEXICO’S MANUFACTURING EXPORTS, 1998-2020 ABSTRACT The main objective of this article is to empirically test, for the case of Mexico over the period 1998-2020, the central hypothesis of the Neostructuralist approach, namely the existence of a positive relationship between the real exchange rate and economic growth. To this purpose, a cointegration model of the Engle and Granger type is used. Stylized facts about trade flows are presented showing some characteristics of the said flows, which allow us to understand why in the Mexican economy the spillovers of technological diffusion are not seen, spillovers which, according to the new international trade theory, are induced by trade liberalization, more specifically by merchandise exports. These stylized facts contribute to the interpretation of the results of the cointegration model as well as to identify some of the factors involved in the external constraints on the growth rate of the Mexican economy (Thirlwall, 1979).

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
7
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
gold