Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ Dublin Institute of ...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
Arrow@TU Dublin
Article . 2008
Data sources: Arrow@TU Dublin
versions View all 2 versions
addClaim

Application of the Fractal Market Hypothesis for Modelling Macroeconomic Time Series.

Authors: Blackledge, Jonathan;

Application of the Fractal Market Hypothesis for Modelling Macroeconomic Time Series.

Abstract

This paper explores the conceptual background to financial time series analysis and financial signal processing in terms of the Efficient Market Hypothesis. By revisiting the principal conventional approaches to market analysis and the reasoning associated with them, we develop a Fractal Market Hypothesis that is based on the application of non-stationary fractional dynamics using an operator of the type ∂ ∂x2 − σ ∂ q(t) ∂tq(t) where σ−1 is the fractional diffusivity and q is the Fourier dimension which, for the topology considered, (i.e. the onedimensional case) is related to the Fractal Dimension 1 < DF < 2 by q = 1−DF + 3/2. We consider an approach that is based on the signal q(t) and its interpretation, including its use as a macroeconomic volatility index. In practice, this is based on the application of a moving window data processor that utilises Orthogonal Linear Regression to compute q from the power spectrum of the windowed data. This is applied to FTSE close-of-day data between 1980 and 2007 which reveals plausible correlations between the behaviour of this market over the period considered and the amplitude fluctuations of q(t) in terms of a macroeconomic model that is compounded in the operator above.

Country
Ireland
Related Organizations
Keywords

330, Fractional Diffusion Equation, Statistical Models, Macroeconomic Modelling, Volatility Index, Macroeconomics, Time Series Analysis, Economic Theory

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    2
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Average
Average
Average
Green
Related to Research communities