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Gambling and Pricing of Derivatives

Authors: Erik M. Aurell; Roberto Baviera; Ola Hammarlid; Maurizio Serva; Angelo Vulpiani;

Gambling and Pricing of Derivatives

Abstract

We introduce a criterion how to price derivatives in incomplete markets, which is based on the theory of optimal strategies in repeated multiplicative games. Arguments are presented why such growth-optimal strategies should be relevant to the problem of pricing derivatives. Under the assumptions of no trading costs, and no restrictions on lending, we find an appropriate equivalent martingale measure that prices the underlying and the derivative securities. We compare our approach with other alternative pricing procedures in the literature. We also discuss the lognormal approximation to the compounded martingale measure over many time-steps, and its limits of applicability.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
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