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Contemporary Accounting Research
Article . 2009 . Peer-reviewed
License: Wiley Online Library User Agreement
Data sources: Crossref
SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2007 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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Quarterly Earnings Patterns and Earnings Management

Authors: Somnath Das; Pervin K. Shroff; Haiwen Zhang;

Quarterly Earnings Patterns and Earnings Management

Abstract

This paper investigates whether the pattern of quarterly earnings changes provides a signal of earnings management. We identify firms for which the sign of (seasonal) earnings changes observed in interim quarters reverses in the fourth quarter. We hypothesize that a firm performing poorly in interim quarters may attempt to increase earnings of the fourth quarter to achieve a desired annual earnings target, while a firm performing well in interim quarters may attempt to decrease earnings of the fourth quarter to build reserves for the future. Our results show that reversal of earnings changes in the fourth quarter is a common phenomenon and its occurrence is greater than would be expected by chance. Other indicators of earnings management, such as the size and direction of discretionary accruals, reversals in subsequent accruals, the use of special items in the income statement, and adjustment of R&D spending, suggest that firms with earnings reversals are more likely to have managed earnings than industry and performance matched control firms. The capital market appears to attach lower credibility to earnings reported by the reversal samples. Our collective evidence leads us to suspect that fourth-quarter reversals on average reflect earnings management behavior. We recommend that analysts use earnings reversals as a heuristic to detect potential cases of earnings management in conjunction with other indicators, such as the magnitude of discretionary accruals. We further find that firms in the reversal samples significantly overlap with the sample of firms reporting small profits and small EPS increases. These results provide an interesting insight - that at least one-fourth of the sample of firms that meet or just beat earnings targets are attempting to smooth annual earnings by managing earnings downward in the fourth quarter.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
113
Top 1%
Top 10%
Top 10%
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