
doi: 10.2139/ssrn.931908
handle: 10419/212583
The paper investigates the ability of monetary authorities to keep the real exchange rate undervalued over the long run by implementing a policy of accumulating foreign exchange reserves. We consider a model of a three-sector, small, open economy, where the central bank continuously purchases foreign currency reserves and compare them to Russian and Chinese economies in recent years. Both countries appear to pursue reserve accumulation policies. We find a clear trade-off between the steady state levels of the real exchange rate and inflation. After calibration, the model predicts an 8.5% real undervaluation of the Russian currency and a 13.7% undervaluation of the Chinese currency. Predicted inflation is found to match observed levels.
Real exchange rate targeting, ddc:330, real exchange rate targeting; foreign exchange reserves; Dutch disease, Dutch disease, Real exchange rate targeting, foreign exchange reserves, Dutch disease, foreign exchange reserves, F4, E52, jel: jel:E52, jel: jel:F41, jel: jel:F4
Real exchange rate targeting, ddc:330, real exchange rate targeting; foreign exchange reserves; Dutch disease, Dutch disease, Real exchange rate targeting, foreign exchange reserves, Dutch disease, foreign exchange reserves, F4, E52, jel: jel:E52, jel: jel:F41, jel: jel:F4
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