Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
addClaim

Neural Network Models for Forecasting Mutual Fund Net Asset Value

Authors: Prantik Ray; Vani Vina;

Neural Network Models for Forecasting Mutual Fund Net Asset Value

Abstract

This paper is an attempt to unravel the relationship between the economic variables and the returns of the mutual funds in Indian context. The paper considers the monthly data of several economic variables like the national output, interest rate, inflation, exchange rate, money supply, aggregate equity market between 1999 and 2004, and tries to reveal the relative influence of these variables on the net asset values of selected mutual fund schemes. Compared to the earlier similar attempts made in the context of developed markets, this paper applies the modern non-linear technique like Artificial Neural Network and tries to predict mutual fund net asset values on the basis of the chosen variables. The finding shows that certain variables like the interest rate, money supply, inflation rate and the equity market have considerable influence in the net asset value movement in the considered period, while the other variables have very negligible impact on the mutual fund returns.

Related Organizations
  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    6
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
6
Average
Average
Average
Upload OA version
Are you the author of this publication? Upload your Open Access version to Zenodo!
It’s fast and easy, just two clicks!