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Seo Risk Dynamics

Authors: Murray Carlson; Adlai Fisher; Ron Giammarino;

Seo Risk Dynamics

Abstract

This paper investigates the dynamics of firm level beta and volatility around seasoned equity offerings. Beta increases prior to the SEO and decreases thereafter. This pattern is generally consistent with a real options explanation of SEO underperformance, but existing models predict a sharp risk drop, while we find a gradual decline. To reconcile this difference, we extend the theory to consider investment commitment and internal financing. In the cross-section, we show that firms with high prior return runups experience larger post-issuance underperformance, as well as more substantial post-issuance declines in beta. By contrast, large market-wide runups, which might be taken as a measure of sentiment, do not precede either postissuance underperformance or post-issuance beta declines. Finally, equity issues coincide with low points in both own firm and market-wide volatility, suggesting the possibility of volatility timing in corporate financing activities.

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Powered by OpenAIRE graph
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
71
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
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