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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 1998 . Peer-reviewed
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Spread Overreaction in International Bond Markets

Authors: Gregory D. Sutton;

Spread Overreaction in International Bond Markets

Abstract

This paper applies the Campbell-Shiller (1987) methodology to a study of the joint behaviour of a three-month and a five-year government yield in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Germany and Japan. The period studied is for most countries the mid-1970s to the third quarter of 1997. The empirical results allow the rejection of the expectations theory of the term structure at high levels of statistical significance in every country except Japan. Furthermore, in every country where the expectations theory fails, the failure of the theory is consistent with the spread overreaction hypothesis of Froot (1989) and Campbell and Shiller (1991). This implies that the departures of long rates from levels predicted by the expectations theory in many major markets cannot be attributed to white noise error terms.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
6
Average
Average
Average
bronze