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Journal of Monetary Economics
Article . 2007 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
Data sources: Crossref
SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2006 . Peer-reviewed
Data sources: Crossref
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Monetary Policy, Taxes, and the Business Cycle

Authors: Michael R. Pakko; William T. Gavin; Finn E. Kydland;

Monetary Policy, Taxes, and the Business Cycle

Abstract

In this paper, we model the interaction of inflation with the tax on nominal capital gains, examining the contribution of this interaction to aggregate fluctuations. Our innovation is to combine monetary policy shocks with non-indexed taxes in a model in which the central bank implements policy using an interest rate rule. Monetary policy shocks enter as persistent shocks to the inflation objective. The use of an interest rate rule makes these shocks highly persistent, leading to persistent changes in the expected marginal tax rate on capital gains. We find that monetary policy had important effects on the behavior of the business cycle before 1980 because the shocks to inflation were large and persistent. Monetary policy reform around 1980 led to a decline in persistence of shocks to inflation. With this lower persistence, the effect of the interaction between monetary policy and the nominal capital gains tax becomes negligible.

Keywords

Inflation (Finance) ; Business cycles ; Taxation, Inflation, Taxation, Business Cycle, jel: jel:E32, jel: jel:E31, jel: jel:E42

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    18
    popularity
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    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
18
Top 10%
Top 10%
Average
bronze