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SSRN Electronic Journal
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SSRN Electronic Journal
Article . 2005 . Peer-reviewed
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EconStor
Research . 2005
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Sustaining Social Security

Authors: Gonzalez-Eiras, Martín; Niepelt, Dirk;

Sustaining Social Security

Abstract

This paper analyzes the sustainability of intergenerational transfers in politico-economic equilibrium. Embedding electoral competition for the votes of old and young households in the standard Diamond (1965) OLG model, we find that intergenerational transfers naturally arise in a Markov perfect equilibrium, even in the absence of altruism, commitment, or trigger strategies. Not internalizing the negative effects of transfers for future generations, the political process partially resolves the distributive conflict between old and young voters by shifting some of the cost of social security to the unborn. As a consequence, transfers in politico-economic equilibrium are higher than what is socially optimal. Standard functional form assumptions yield closed-form solutions for the politico-economic equilibrium as well as the equilibrium supported by the Ramsey policy. The model predicts population ageing to lead to larger social security systems, but eventually lower benefits per retiree. Under realistic parameter values, it predicts a social-security tax rate close to the actual one, but higher than the Ramsey tax rate. Closed-form solutions for the case with endogenous labor supply, tax distortions, and multiple policy instruments prove the results to be robust.

Country
Sweden
Keywords

Vollkommener Wettbewerb, Economics, probabilistic voting, labor supply, Optimale Besteuerung, social security, intergenerational transfers, probabilistic voting, Markov perfect equilibrium, saving, labor supply, aggregate saving, Nationalekonomi, H55, social security, saving, ddc:330, intergenerational transfers, Social security; Intergenerational transfers; Markov perfect equilibrium; Probabilistic voting; Aggregate saving; Aggregate labor supply, Sparen, Privater Transfer, Markov perfect equilibrium, Soziale Sicherung, aggregate labor supply, E62, Theorie, jel: jel:E62, jel: jel:H55

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
5
Average
Average
Average
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