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A Cyclicality Linked Corporate Short-term Credit Model - Solvency Ratio Approach

Authors: Hsien-Hsing Liao; Tsung-Kang Chen;

A Cyclicality Linked Corporate Short-term Credit Model - Solvency Ratio Approach

Abstract

This study incorporates industrial cyclicality with the corporate solvency ratio process to develop a state-dependent solvency ratio model with parameters varying according to the changes in the state of the industrial economy. A mean-reversion cyclicality process is established to provide projections of future states of industrial economy. The solvency ratio model can generate simulations to spawn the solvency ratio distributions of each future period. With these distributions, we can obtain both the probability of a company's liquidity crunch and its expected liquidity gap in future periods. To perform the model needs only publicly available information of corporation finances and the industrial cyclicality information. The empirical results are corroborative.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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