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The Importance of the Wording of the ECB

Authors: Carlo Rosa; Giovanni Verga;

The Importance of the Wording of the ECB

Abstract

This paper analyses the ECB communication, focusing in particular on its transparency dimension. We posit that if the ECB is transparent about its future policy decisions, then we should be able to forecast fairly well its future interest rate setting behaviour. We find that the predicting ability of the European monetary authority’s words, is similar to the one implied by market-based measures of monetary policy expectations. Moreover, the ECB’s wording provides complementary, rather than substitute, information with respect to economic and monetary variables.

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Keywords

ECB communication; transparency; monetary policy forecast; empirical reaction function; Euribor rate curve, ECB communication, transparency, monetary policy forecast, empirical reaction function, Euribor rate curve, jel: jel:G14, jel: jel:E43, jel: jel:E52, jel: jel:E58

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    popularity
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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
6
Average
Top 10%
Average
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