Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
addClaim

Economic Uncertainty and the Beta Anomaly in G10 Countries

Authors: Yigit Atilgan; K. Ozgur Demirtas; A. Doruk Gunaydin; Aynur Dilan Tosun;

Economic Uncertainty and the Beta Anomaly in G10 Countries

Abstract

The beta anomaly, whereby low-beta stocks outperform high-beta stocks on a risk-adjusted basis, remains a persistent challenge to the Capital Asset Pricing Model. A recent study by Cao et al. (2025) links this pattern in U.S. equities to a state-dependent leverage-constraint channel, in which subdued ambiguity and risk aversion during low uncertainty periods push constrained investors toward high-beta stocks, inflating their prices and depressing subsequent returns. We test whether this conditional mechanism extends to the G10 economies. After confirming the original U.S. result over a longer horizon, we partition each international market into high-and low-uncertainty regimes using the global EPU index over 1997-2025. Across most G10 markets, the negative relationship between market beta and CAPM alpha weakens or disappears during high-uncertainty periods, but becomes significantly more pronounced when uncertainty is low. The pattern survives alternative specifications of the global index, country-level EPU measures, and different beta estimation methods.

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    0
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Upload OA version
Are you the author of this publication? Upload your Open Access version to Zenodo!
It’s fast and easy, just two clicks!