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Multi-criteria group decision-making method with probabilistic uncertain linguistic information based on quantum probability theory and ELECTRE III for artificial intelligence technologies selection

Authors: Shuping Wan; Xinuo Chen; Jiuying Dong; Xudong Zhao;

Multi-criteria group decision-making method with probabilistic uncertain linguistic information based on quantum probability theory and ELECTRE III for artificial intelligence technologies selection

Abstract

Artificial intelligence (AI) technologies selection drives innovation and boosts efficiency across industries. It involves multi-criteria group decision-making (MCGDM) with evaluations from different decision-makers (DMs). Probabilistic uncertain linguistic term sets (PULTSs) help manage uncertainty and provide flexible decision-making. This paper develops an innovative MCGM method with PULTSs for AI technologies selection. First, novel definitions of subtraction, preference degree and distance of PULTSs are defined. Considering DMs’ consensus level, evaluation similarity and uncertainty degree, this paper erects a tri-objective optimization model to derive DMs’ weights. A three-layer Quantum-like Bayesian Network model is constructed. Then, an interference effect calculation approach is erected based on Kullback-Leibler divergence and Jensen-Shannon divergence, along with minimum constraints. In the first layer, the DMs’ weights are computed by the tri-objective optimization model. In the second layer, the probability of criterion is aggregated by DMs’ criteria scores and interference effects among DMs. In the third layer, the extended ELECTRE III method is utilized for calculating the conditional probabilities of alternatives on each criterion. The probability of alternative is aggregated by the normalized net credibility and interference effect among criteria. A real case of AI technologies selection combined with comparative analyses is used to illustrate the effectiveness of proposed method.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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