Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao https://doi.org/10.2...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
addClaim

Integrating Geopolitical Risk Into Low Volatility Factor Construction 

Authors: Wassim Kallali; Phung-que Binh; Anna Rosenberg; Sonja Tilly; Takaya Sekine;

Integrating Geopolitical Risk Into Low Volatility Factor Construction 

Abstract

Financial markets respond not only to quantitative fundamentals but also to narratives that shape investor perceptions of risk, particularly during periods of heightened geopolitical uncertainty. While the low volatility factor has demonstrated robust riskadjusted performance across markets, its construction is typically static and does not account for narrative-driven fluctuations in risk. This paper investigates whether incorporating narrative-based measures of geopolitical risk can enhance the design and resilience of low volatility equity strategies. Using firm-level geopolitical sentiment indicators derived from news flows and expert reports, we develop state-dependent specifications of the low volatility factor in which portfolio weights dynamically adjust to changes in the prevailing geopolitical narrative environment. We evaluate the performance and defensive characteristics of these narrative-conditioned strategies relative to conventional low volatility benchmarks across multiple market regimes. Our findings provide evidence that geopolitical narratives contain incremental information relevant for factor-based portfolio construction, improving downside protection during periods of elevated uncertainty without materially compromising long-term performance. These results contribute to the growing literature on text-based measures in factor investing and offer practical insights for the design of more adaptive, risk-aware systematic investment strategies.

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    citations
    The total number of citations received by all articles of the researcher of interest.
    0
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
citations
The total number of citations received by all articles of the researcher of interest.
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Upload OA version
Are you the author of this publication? Upload your Open Access version to Zenodo!
It’s fast and easy, just two clicks!