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Impact of Built Environment, Network Topology, and Accessibilityon Extreme Metro Ridership

Authors: Bingjie Zhan;

Impact of Built Environment, Network Topology, and Accessibilityon Extreme Metro Ridership

Abstract

This research proposes an interaction-aware framework to address three key gaps in metro ridership studies: single-factor dominance, neglect of extreme demand scenarios, and lack of circleline-based spatial differentiation. Using Guangzhou’s metro system, the framework integratesensemble machine learning with SHAP interaction analysis to examine how built environment,network topology, and intermodal accessibility jointly influence ridership. The results show thatnetwork topology is the dominant determinant, and key single factors—especially betweennesscentrality—remain central within top interaction pairs. Under extreme demand, ridership isprimarily governed by structural network characteristics rather than temporal variation. Clearspatial heterogeneity is observed: downtown ridership is driven by topology–topology interactions, while peripheral ridership depends more on cross-dimensional interactions, particularlyaccessibility to the metropolitan center. Interaction effects account for a substantial share ofridership formation, with several variables exerting influence mainly through interactions.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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Average
Average
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