
doi: 10.2139/ssrn.6435379
Why do some societies, from authoritarian rule to liberal democracy, generate prosperity while others stagnate? This paper identifies electoral integrity as the binding institutional constraint: the threshold condition determining whether political and civil freedoms translate into economic productivity. Free regimes already exhibit four times the GDP per capita of Not-Free counterparts ($23,579 vs. $6,221), with lower inequality (Gini 35.2 vs. 37.9)-directly challenging the conventional trade-off between efficiency and equity. Yet this gap is driven by a precise institutional mechanism. Using a global panel of 85 countries (2006-2019), we employ a three-stage empirical strategy-panel fixed-effects analysis, Explainable AI, and a heterogeneous-agent structural model-to identify a critical non-linear threshold: below an Electoral Integrity score of 0.6-0.7, the economic returns to freedom effectively vanish. The erosion of electoral integrity is not merely a political failure but a quantifiable economic catastrophe.
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 0 | |
| popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Average | |
| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Average | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Average |
