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Uncovered Interest Rate Parity on GBP: A Pre- and Post-Brexit Analysis

Authors: Damilola Kassim;

Uncovered Interest Rate Parity on GBP: A Pre- and Post-Brexit Analysis

Abstract

This study examines how Brexit disrupted the Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) for the British pound (GBP), analysing data from 2009 to 2023. Using Fama's framework and holding-period return models, structural shifts in bond yields post-Brexit are identified, particularly affecting GBP/USD and GBP/JPY pairs. While monetary policy rates showed no significant breakpoints at Brexit, longer-term bond yields exhibited strong shifts, often coinciding with later macro-financial disruptions. The findings suggest that Brexit induced maturity-dependent, asymmetric effects on UIP dynamics, primarily impacting long-term risk premia and yield expectations rather than short-term rates.

  • BIP!
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    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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