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The Simulacrum of Intelligence

Authors: Ashfaaq Kazi;

The Simulacrum of Intelligence

Abstract

<div> Four years after ChatGPT's November 2022 launch inaugurated the mainstream "AI era," this paper examines whether large language models (LLMs) constitute genuine intelligence or a convincing simulacrum thereof. Drawing on 40+ sources across computer science, cognitive science, and philosophy of mind, the paper synthesizes seven independent technical lines of evidence — including the stochastic parrot critique (Bender et al., 2021), formal proofs of hallucination inevitability (Xu et al., 2024; Kalai &amp; Vempala, 2024), the fragility of LLM reasoning under trivial perturbation (Mirzadeh et al., 2025), benchmark contamination, absent world models, scaling diminishing returns, and the symbol grounding problem — with four philosophical frameworks: the Chinese Room argument updated for self-learning systems, Floridi's theory of agency without intelligence, the consciousness gap as assessed under Integrated Information Theory and Global Workspace Theory, and Baudrillard's simulacra as applied to machine-generated signs of cognition.&nbsp; </div> <div> <br> </div> <div> The analysis finds that these independent dimensions converge on a single conclusion: current LLMs produce statistically sophisticated outputs that mimic the form of intelligence without instantiating its substance. Contemporary deployment evidence (2024–2026) reinforces this finding, with 95% of organizations reporting zero return on generative AI investments, hallucinated legal citations exceeding 700 documented cases, and the scaling hypothesis encountering diminishing returns acknowledged by its own architects. The paper engages the strongest counterarguments — including emergent internal representations, grounding through distributional semantics, and the systems reply to the Chinese Room — and finds them insufficient to bridge the gap between simulation and understanding.&nbsp; </div> <div> <br> </div> <div> It concludes by recovering J.C.R. Licklider's (1960) vision of human-computer symbiosis, arguing that the most productive path forward lies not in pursuing artificial general intelligence through current architectures but in the complementary partnership between human judgment and machine computation that the field's founding visionary originally proposed. </div>

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
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